Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 8.343002e-05 1.011033e-04 0.000120 0.000142 0.000166 0.000192 0.000222
2024-11-03 5.643752e-05 7.753739e-05 0.000102 0.000132 0.000167 0.000206 0.000252
2024-11-10 4.940051e-05 7.359147e-05 0.000103 0.000140 0.000185 0.000236 0.000298
2024-11-17 3.780687e-05 6.242686e-05 0.000094 0.000135 0.000187 0.000248 0.000324
2024-11-24 2.912298e-05 5.318070e-05 0.000086 0.000130 0.000187 0.000255 0.000342
2024-12-01 2.237402e-05 4.564264e-05 0.000079 0.000126 0.000188 0.000264 0.000363
2024-12-08 1.765558e-05 4.009476e-05 0.000074 0.000123 0.000190 0.000274 0.000383
2024-12-15 1.312836e-05 3.404287e-05 0.000067 0.000118 0.000189 0.000279 0.000398
2024-12-22 1.038466e-05 3.037766e-05 0.000064 0.000117 0.000192 0.000289 0.000419
2024-12-29 8.146641e-06 2.718185e-05 0.000061 0.000116 0.000195 0.000300 0.000441
2025-01-05 5.905720e-06 2.329766e-05 0.000056 0.000112 0.000194 0.000304 0.000454
2025-01-12 4.245807e-06 2.015236e-05 0.000053 0.000109 0.000195 0.000310 0.000470
2025-01-19 2.623664e-06 1.709797e-05 0.000050 0.000110 0.000205 0.000334 0.000516
2025-01-26 9.268969e-07 1.181680e-05 0.000042 0.000102 0.000200 0.000338 0.000536
2025-02-02 6.192344e-07 1.122234e-05 0.000043 0.000109 0.000217 0.000373 0.000598
2025-02-09 1.650763e-07 8.422034e-06 0.000038 0.000105 0.000219 0.000386 0.000630
2025-02-16 1.246257e-08 6.065531e-06 0.000034 0.000100 0.000218 0.000394 0.000655
2025-02-23 NaN 4.350629e-06 0.000030 0.000097 0.000219 0.000406 0.000685
2025-03-02 NaN 3.154915e-06 0.000028 0.000095 0.000222 0.000418 0.000716
2025-03-09 NaN 2.038755e-06 0.000024 0.000090 0.000221 0.000426 0.000740
2025-03-16 NaN 1.431521e-06 0.000022 0.000089 0.000225 0.000441 0.000775
2025-03-23 NaN 9.817169e-07 0.000021 0.000088 0.000229 0.000456 0.000811
2025-03-30 NaN 5.411581e-07 0.000018 0.000085 0.000228 0.000464 0.000835